Operational message
There are currently operational disruptions. Troubleshooting is in progress.
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Modeling and predicting starlink throughput with fine-grained burst characterization
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013). Icomera AB, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3461-7079
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3570-9525
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7311-9334
2025 (English)In: Computer Communications, ISSN 0140-3664, E-ISSN 1873-703X, Vol. 234, article id 108090Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Leveraging a dataset of almost half a billion packets with high-precision packet times and sizes, we extract characteristics of the bursts emitted over Starlink’s Ethernet interface. The structure of these bursts directly reflects the physical layer reception of OFDMA frames on the satellite link. We study these bursts by analyzing their rates, and thus indirectly also the transition between different physical layer rates. The results highlight that there is definitive structure in the transition behavior, and we note specific behaviors such as particular transition steps associated with rate switching, and that rate switching occurs mainly to neighboring rates. We also study the joint burst rate and burst duration transitions, noting that transitions occur mainly within the same rate, and that changes in burst duration are often performed with an intermediate short burst in-between. Furthermore, we examine the configurations of the three factors burst rate, burst duration, and inter-burst silent time, which together determine the effective throughput of a Starlink connection. We perform pattern mining on these three factors, and we use the patterns to construct a dynamic N-gram model predicting the characteristics of the next upcoming burst, and by extension, the short-term future throughput. We further train a Deep Learning time-series model which shows improved prediction performance. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 234, article id 108090
Keywords [en]
Frequency division multiple access, Geodetic satellites, Packet switching, Prediction models, Satellite communication systems, Tropics, Burst duration, Low earth orbit satellites, Low-earth orbit satellite network, N-gram prediction, N-grams, Physical layers, Rate switching, Satellite network, Starlink, Throughput models, Satellite links
National Category
Telecommunications
Research subject
Computer Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-103453DOI: 10.1016/j.comcom.2025.108090Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85217679804OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-103453DiVA, id: diva2:1941196
Funder
Knowledge FoundationAvailable from: 2025-02-27 Created: 2025-02-27 Last updated: 2026-02-12Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(1981 kB)213 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 1981 kBChecksum SHA-512
bc5dfef24ee45cfff8decfbf08c66bfa8ecf71399b10d9f3bf1e8bf5ec25ee48584578d6a8429fea54a5d66028ff8370dfeffb746714923f8acccc825c7108dc
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Garcia, JohanMatthias, BeckerleSundberg, SimonBrunstrom, Anna

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Garcia, JohanMatthias, BeckerleSundberg, SimonBrunstrom, Anna
By organisation
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013)
In the same journal
Computer Communications
Telecommunications

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 214 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 453 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf