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Pedestrian Injuries due to Single and Collision Accidents in Sweden’s Road Traffic Environment: Investigating the Magnitude, Risk Factors, and Potential Solutions
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013). Swedish Transport Agency, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2133-1947
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)Alternative title
Fotgängare skador på grund av singel- och kollisionsolyckor i Sveriges vägtrafikmiljö : Undersöka storleken, riskfaktorerna och potentiella lösningar (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

Walking is an environmentally friendly and healthy transport mode, but pedestrians face significant risks, especially in adverse weather conditions. Despite advancements in road safety, pedestrians remain a vulnerable group, with road traffic injuries and fatalities disproportionately affecting them. 

This thesis investigates pedestrian accidents in Sweden, focusing on epidemiological patterns and the effectiveness of selected interventions for safety. It compiles four papers analysing Swedish traffic accident data: Paper I compares pedestrian single- and collision-related accidents and injuries to other road users; Paper II examines reversing collisions involving pedestrians; Paper III evaluates the effectiveness of Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB) systems in reducing pedestrian accidents; and Paper IV assesses the impact of heated walking surfaces in preventing fall-related injuries in urban areas.

Using Swedish Traffic Accident Data and technical data on driver support systems and heated paths, the studies apply various statistical methods and induced exposure techniques to evaluate interventions. The results reveal that pedestrians represent a significant proportion of traffic injuries, with elderly and female pedestrians particularly vulnerable to fall-related injuries in urban settings. Reversing accidents were shown to account for 12% of pedestrian collisions, with clusters highlighting specific risk groups. AEB systems were found to reduce accident risk by 20%, although their effectiveness varied by conditions. Heated surfaces proved effective in reducing fall-related injuries by up to 100%.

This thesis concludes that to tackle pedestrian safety effectively, improved and more inclusive statistics are required, alongside targeted interventions. By doing so, better pedestrian safety can be achieved as well as increasing the potential to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and improved public health.

Abstract [en]

Walking is an eco-friendly and healthy transport mode, but pedestrians face significant risks, especially in adverse weather. Despite advances in road safety, pedestrians remain vulnerable, with a disproportionate number of injuries and fatalities. This thesis examines pedestrian accidents in Sweden, focusing on epidemiological trends and safety interventions. 

Four papers analyse Swedish accident data: Paper I compares pedestrian injuries to other road users; Paper II examines reversing collisions with pedestrian; Paper III evaluates Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB) systems with pedestrian detection; and Paper IV evaluates heated walking surfaces in preventing fall injuries due to winter conditions. 

The studies show that the majority of road traffic injuries are pedestrians, with older and female pedestrians at particular risk of falling. Reversing accidents make up 12% of pedestrian collisions, with distinct risk groups identified. AEB systems reduce accident risk by 20%, though effectiveness varies. Heated surfaces reduce fall injuries significantly.

This thesis concludes pedestrian safety can improve with AEB systems and heated surfaces, but broader implementation and more efficient solutions are needed. Addressing pedestrian single accidents is one important step to make the challenges visible.

Abstract [sv]

Gång är ett miljövänligt och hälsosamt transportsätt, men fotgängare utsätts för betydande risker, särskilt vid ogynnsamma väderförhållanden. Trots framsteg inom vägtrafiksäkerhet förblir fotgängare sårbara, med en oproportionerlig andel av skador och dödsfall. Syftet med denna avhandling är att undersöka fotgängarolyckor och effekterna av åtgärder för att förbättra fotgängarsäkerheten.

Avhandlingen baseras på fyra artiklar, två beskrivande och två utvärderande, som använder data från STRADA (Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition) samt kompletterande tekniska data om förarstödsystem och uppvärmda gångvägar. 

Artikel I visar att fotgängare är näst största grupp när det gäller omkomna och största grupp när det gäller skadade (inklusive allvarligt skadade) jämfört med alla andra vägtrafikanter i Sverige. Singelolyckor (majoriteten är fallolyckor) är vanligast i urbana områden under vintern, särskilt bland kvinnor och personer 50+. 

Artikel II visar att påbackningsolyckor utgör 12 % av kollisionerna mellan fotgängare och motorfordon, och dessa olyckor drabbar främst äldre och yngre fotgängare. Cirka 2 % av dessa olyckor leder till dödsfall. De flesta som blir påbackad är kvinnor och majoriteten av förarna som backar på är män.

Artikel III visar att fordon utrustade med AEB (Automatic Emergency Braking) med fotgängardetektering minskar olycksrisken med 20 %, men det är betydligt långt ifrån marknadsföringseffekten. Effektiviteten är olika i olika trafikmiljöförhållanden.

Artikel IV visar att uppvärmda trottoarer och gångvägar minskar fallrelaterade skador med 67–100 % i svenska städer. Uppvärmda gångbanor är kostnadseffektiva i kalla, snörika klimat, och mer energieffektiva uppvärmningsmetoder, som jordvärmepumpar, kan minska kostnader ännu mer.

Sammanfattningsvis visar resultaten att fotgängare är en mycket sårbar grupp i vägtrafiken, men att riktade åtgärder kan minska olycks- och skaderisker. Studien belyser också vikten av att inkludera singelolyckor i trafikstatistiken för att utveckla effektiva infrastruktur- och miljödesignlösningar. För att förbättra fotgängarsäkerheten och minska skaderisken krävs tillförlitlig data, riktade strategier och systematiska utvärderingar, särskilt med tanke på den ökande äldre befolkningen i Sverige.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlstads universitet, 2025. , p. 103
Series
Karlstad University Studies, ISSN 1403-8099 ; 2025:8
Keywords [en]
traffic safety, road safety, pedestrian safety, pedestrian accident, pedestrian fatalities and injuries, pedestrian single accident, fall accident, pedestrian collision accident, vulnerable road user, reversing accident, backover crashes, heating surface, HHP, AEB
Keywords [sv]
trafiksäkerhet för fotgängare, fotgängarolyckor, omkomna och skadade fotgängare, singelolyckor med fotgängare, fallolyckor, kollisionsolyckor med fotgängare, påkörningsolyckor, oskyddade trafikanter, påbackningsolyckor, uppvärmda gator och trottoarer, AEB, autobroms
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering Energy Engineering Other Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Risk and Environmental Studies
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-102928DOI: 10.59217/pjco2138ISBN: 978-91-7867-542-5 (print)ISBN: 978-91-7867-543-2 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-102928DiVA, id: diva2:1933604
Public defence
2025-03-21, 1B309, Sjöströmssalen, Karlstad University, Karlstad, 10:00 (Swedish)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-02-21 Created: 2025-01-31 Last updated: 2025-02-24Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Fall- and collision-related injuries among pedestrians in road traffic environment: A Swedish national register-based study
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Fall- and collision-related injuries among pedestrians in road traffic environment: A Swedish national register-based study
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2022 (English)In: Journal of Safety Research, ISSN 0022-4375, E-ISSN 1879-1247, Vol. 81, p. 153-165Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Objective: To investigate the burden of pedestrian injuries, including pedestrian fall injuries (PFI), compared to other transport-related injuries in Sweden and document their characteristics in terms of demographics, causes, type of injuries, and severity level with a focus on long-term consequences. Methods: Data were retrieved from the national Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition register. A total of 361,531 fatalities and injuries were reported by emergency hospitals during 2010–2019, of which 127,804 were pedestrians (35%). We assessed the magnitude of PFIs and conducted comparative analyses to assess differences compared to other types of road users regarding sex, age, severity level, injury circumstances, hospital care, causes of accidents, and type of injuries. Results: Pedestrians were the second largest group of traffic-related deaths in Sweden after car occupants and accounted for just over a quarter of all fatal accidents in the road traffic environment. Of the total number of pedestrian fatalities, three out of four have been in collision accidents and the others in fall-related accidents. In terms of injuries, pedestrians were the largest group among all road users, regardless of the type of accident. PFIs accounted for a third of all injuries in the road traffic environment and nearly half of all injuries resulting in permanent medical impairment (i.e., 2.2 times more long-term consequences among PFIs compared to injured car occupants). Females (particularly middle-aged and older) and older adults were overrepresented, and most PFIs occurred on urban and municipal roads. The causes were often related to maintenance (e.g., slippery surfaces such as ice, snow, leaves or gravel together with uneven pavements and roads are the cause three out of four of PFIs). Among collision injuries, the representation was almost equal for sex and age. Conclusions: Injuries and fatalities among pedestrians are a considerable issue in the road traffic environment in Sweden. Contrary to other traffic groups, the incidence has not decreased over time, meaning that this issue must be met with specific measures and address the specific risk factors they are associated with. Practical Application: Including fall accidents in the definition of traffic accidents increases the chances of getting better information about the accidents and taking preventive measures.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2022
Keywords
Fall injuries, MAIS, Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale, Pedestrian, Permanent medical impairment, Traffic injuries, Data acquisition, Highway accidents, Motor transportation, Risk assessment, Roads and streets, Abbreviated injury scale, Road traffic environments, Road users, Swedishs, Hospitals
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Research subject
Risk and Environmental Studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-89850 (URN)10.1016/j.jsr.2022.02.007 (DOI)000805762100016 ()2-s2.0-85126538891 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2022-05-19 Created: 2022-05-19 Last updated: 2025-02-24Bibliographically approved
2. Reversing accidents involving pedestrians: an epidemiological investigation and cluster analysis using a novel database derived from Swedish National Register data
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Reversing accidents involving pedestrians: an epidemiological investigation and cluster analysis using a novel database derived from Swedish National Register data
2024 (English)In: Traffic Injury Prevention, ISSN 1538-9588, E-ISSN 1538-957XArticle in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

ObjectivesIn contemporary urban environments, the intersection between Vulnerable Road Users, specifically unprotected pedestrians, and motor vehicles poses a persistent challenge to road safety. Reversing accidents, characterized by vehicles moving backward, often result in severe consequences for pedestrians due to limited visibility and inherent blind spots for the driver. This paper aims to provide a thorough examination of reversing accidents involving pedestrians in Sweden between 2000-2021; shedding light on the magnitude of the problem, contributing factors, consequences, and potential mitigation strategies.MethodUsing a national database, reversing accidents were compiled by classifying free text descriptions of traffic accidents reported to the Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition. The database was then used to describe reversing accidents and their consequences for struck pedestrians using descriptive epidemiology and cluster analysis.ResultsThe results show that reversing accidents accounted for 12% of all pedestrians injured in a collision with a motor vehicle in Sweden during the studied period. In terms of personal characteristics, the struck pedestrians were more often female and of old or young age, whilst the drivers of the reversing vehicles were more often between 18-54 years and men. Most accidents were non-fatal, with only roughly 2% resulting in fatalities. Through a cluster analysis, four distinct accident types were identified. Two of these were identified as particularly important to prioritize in future preventative work: accidents that are characterized by occur during daylight hours in the urban environment (often low speeds) and often result in fatality or serious injury.ConclusionsDue to the low speeds, reversing accidents are rarely fatal. However, they account for a large proportion of accidents with pedestrians and can be grouped into clearly distinguishable accident types that can function as templates in road safety development in Sweden.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2024
Keywords
Reversing accident, backover crashes, rear-end collision, pedestrian, traffic safety, urban design
National Category
Vehicle and Aerospace Engineering Infrastructure Engineering Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Research subject
Risk and Environmental Studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-102102 (URN)10.1080/15389588.2024.2408661 (DOI)001331879400001 ()39405433 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85206432442 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-10-29 Created: 2024-10-29 Last updated: 2025-02-24Bibliographically approved
3. Effects of automatic emergency braking systems to reduce risk of crash and serious injuries among pedestrians and bicyclists.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Effects of automatic emergency braking systems to reduce risk of crash and serious injuries among pedestrians and bicyclists.
2025 (English)In: Traffic Safety Research, E-ISSN 2004-3082, Vol. 9, article id e000085Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Objective:  The aim of this study is to investigate the effectiveness of Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB) with detection of pedestrians and bicyclists in reducing car-to-pedestrian and car-to-bicyclists collisions and also injury mitigation in these collisions.

Methods: The study analyses collision data from the Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition (STRADA) encompassing road traffic accidents reported by the police and by emergency hospitals in Sweden. Crashes occurring between the years 2012 and 2022 and with cars from model years 2012 to 2022 were included in the dataset. Two statistical analyses were performed. To evaluate the crash reduction effect of AEB, odds ratio calculations with an induced exposure approach was conducted where the outcomes of sensitive and non-sensitive crashes were studied. The sensitive crashes were hit pedestrians and bicyclists, respectively. The non-sensitive crash type in both comparisons was struck vehicles in rear-end crashes. The collision reducing effect was analysed for various speed limits, lighting and visibility conditions. To evaluate whether AEB has a reducing effect on injury severity, relative differences in injury outcomes (both proportion of MAIS3+ and risk of permanent impairment, RPMI) of pedestrians and bicyclist was compared for hitting cars with and without AEB.

Results: A total of 2,160 pedestrian collisions and 3,374 cyclist collisions were included, and the non-sensitive crashes consisted of 5,738 vehicles. The overall reduction in crash risk was approximately 20% (±10%) for vehicles equipped with AEB with pedestrian and/or bicycle detection. When analysed by lighting conditions, reductions in crash risk of just over 20% were observed in daylight for vehicles with AEB with pedestrian and/or bicycle detection. It appears to be a reduction also in darkness, although the reductions found of approximately 20% were not statistically significant. Reductions were observed for various weather conditions, except for cyclist crashes during rain, fog, and snowfall. A greater reduction in crash risk was noted on high-speed roads (60–120 km/h) for vehicles equipped with AEB for bicycle detection compared to low-speed roads (10–50 km/h). No similar difference was observed for AEB with pedestrian detection. Additionally, there was a greater reduction in crashes at intersections for vehicles with AEB for pedestrian detection and on roads for vehicles with AEB for bicycle detection. No difference in injury severity, both regarding proportion of MAIS3+ and RPMI, for both pedestrians and bicyclists was observed between collisions involving vehicles with and without AEB.

Conclusions: This study confirms the significant potential of AEB systems in improving road safety for pedestrians and cyclists. However, their current effectiveness is too low to provide sufficient protection at today's speed limits and their expected potential and real-world performance differ a lot, which highlights the need for improvements. The study shows varying effectiveness of AEB systems in reducing crash risks under different lighting, weather, and speed conditions. Furthermore, no injury mitigating effect could be verified for cars with AEB for pedestrians and bicyclist might indicate that either a crash was completely avoided, or the AEB system did not perform any braking. While avoiding crashes could be the prime objective for an AEB for vulnerable road users, braking that reduce injury severity despite there was a crash is of importance as well.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Lund University Press, 2025
Keywords
Automatic Emergency Braking, AEB, bicyclist, crash reduction, effectiveness, pedestrian., Autobroms, Fotgängarcollision, Fotgängare, cykelkollision, cyklister, olycksreducering
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics Infrastructure Engineering
Research subject
Risk and Environmental Studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-102926 (URN)10.55329/nbqj7880 (DOI)
Available from: 2025-01-31 Created: 2025-01-31 Last updated: 2025-02-24Bibliographically approved
4. Injury Reducing Effect of GSHP-Heated Pedestrian Path.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Injury Reducing Effect of GSHP-Heated Pedestrian Path.
Show others...
2024 (English)In: International Ground Source Heat Pump AssociationResearch Conference Proceedings. Montréal, Québec, Canada May 28-30, 2024 / [ed] Jeffrey Spitler, 2024, p. 227-234, article id 10.22488/okstate.24.000024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In Sweden, falls amongst pedestrians during wintertime, due to slipping on ice and snow, is a costly and growing problem. Using data on pedestrian falls from four Swedish cities, the injury-reducing effect of heated surfaces was studied. The results indicate that heated surfaces have a significant injury-reducing effect especially in cities with more ice and snow. Currently, district heating is used as a heat source and at an increasing cost. By using GSHP systems as a heat source, the cost could be considerably lowered, and in this way secure the further use and expansion of heated pedestrian paths. 

Keywords
Pedestrian single accidents, Fall accidents, Pedestrian Fall Injuries, Geothermal Heat Pumps (GHP), Hydronic Heated Pavements (HHP)
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering Energy Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-102919 (URN)10.22488/okstate.24.000000 (DOI)
Conference
International Ground Source Heat Pump Association
Available from: 2025-01-31 Created: 2025-01-31 Last updated: 2025-02-24

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