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How Polling Trends Influence Compensational Coalition-Voting
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0820-8626
2021 (English)In: Frontiers in Political Science, E-ISSN 2673-3145, Vol. 3, article id 598771Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Compensational voting refers to when voters cast a vote for a more extreme party than they prefer, in order to push policies closer to an ideal point. This article develops the idea of compensational voting in regard to pre-electoral coalition signals and polling trends. The argument is that a significant share of voters consider the relative strength of the parties in their preferred pre-electoral coalition, and adjust their vote choice accordingly. This is elaborated by conducting a mixed logit model over eight Swedish general elections where parties were more or less clear about their intentions to collaborate with other parties. Combining unique data from parties’ election manifestos including negative and positive quotes about other parties with polling trends and voters’ approval rating of parties, the analysis lends support to the idea that this type of coalition-oriented compensational voting occurs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Frontiers Media S.A., 2021. Vol. 3, article id 598771
Keywords [en]
compensational, voting, coalitions, polls, proportional representation
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-82684DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2021.598771Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85107040849OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-82684DiVA, id: diva2:1525169
Projects
Strategic Voting under Coalition GovernmentsAvailable from: 2021-02-03 Created: 2021-02-03 Last updated: 2026-02-12Bibliographically approved

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Fredén, Annika

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf