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Betting on the underdog: The influence of social networks on vote choice
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0820-8626
University of Toronto, Canada.
University of California, USA.
2022 (English)In: Political Science Research and Methods, ISSN 2049-8470, E-ISSN 2049-8489, Vol. 10, no 1, p. 198-205Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

People are commonly expected not to waste their vote on parties with small probabilities of being elected. Yet, many end up voting for underdogs. We argue that voters gauge the popular support for their preferred party from their social networks. When social networks function as echo chambers, a feature observed in real-life networks, voters overestimate underdogs’ chances of winning. We conduct voting experiments in which some treatment groups receive signals from a simulated network. We compare the effect of networks with a high degree of homogeneity against random networks. We find that homophilic networks increase the level of support for underdogs, which provides evidence to back up anecdotal claims that echo chambers foster the development of fringe parties.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2022. Vol. 10, no 1, p. 198-205
Keywords [en]
experimental research, elections and campaigns, voting behavior, social networks
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-78127DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2020.21ISI: 000731566900015Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85086790431OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-78127DiVA, id: diva2:1439005
Projects
Sociala nätverk och val av parti: att utveckla nya språkbaserade verktyg för att studera väljarbeteende
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2017-02941Available from: 2020-06-11 Created: 2020-06-11 Last updated: 2026-02-12Bibliographically approved

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Fredén, Annika

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
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  • rtf