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Mathematical Modeling of Covid-19 With Intervention: A Case Study of Nigeria
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).
2023 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 40 credits / 60 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The outbreak of COVID-19 disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 in 2019 has claimed over 6.3 million lives. The pandemic prompted many countries to set up some preventive measures as means to control the spread of the disease. In this thesis, a deterministic system of coupled differential equations is proposed to study the transmission of COVID-19 among a well-mixed population with intervention strategies. The existence and uniqueness of the classical solution of the COVID-19 model are proved. The equilibrium points of the model are analyzed and, the basic reproduction number is obtained. The local asymptotic stability and the global asymptotic stability of the model are carried out. An adaptive Dormand\textendash Prince numerical method is used to obtain approximate solution of the model. The results shows that combined control parameters may reduce the burden of COVID-19 faster in the population. In addition, the outcomes of this study show that in order to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 in the overall population, non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies such as social distancing, self-isolation, and hand washing should be practiced at the maximum and people should be vaccinated.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023. , p. 52
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-95062OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-95062DiVA, id: diva2:1763173
Subject / course
Mathematics
Educational program
Mathematics Programme (180 ECTS credits)
Presentation
2023-06-02, 21E205, Karlstad, 12:15 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2023-06-08 Created: 2023-06-06 Last updated: 2023-06-08Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf