System disruptions
We are currently experiencing disruptions on the search portals due to high traffic. We are working to resolve the issue, you may temporarily encounter an error message.
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Impact of Clustering Methods on Machine Learning-based Solar Power Prediction Models
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9403-6175
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9446-8143
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Engineering and Physics (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9750-9863
Glava Energy Center, Arvika.
Show others and affiliations
2022 (English)In: 2022 IEEE International Smart Cities Conference (ISC2), Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2022Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Prediction of solar power generation is important in order to optimize energy exchanges in future micro-grids that integrate a large amount of photovoltaics. However, an accurate prediction is difficult due to the uncertainty of weather phenomena that impact produced power. In this paper, we evaluate the impact of different clustering methods on the forecast accuracy for predicting hourly ahead solar power when using machine learning based prediction approaches trained on weather and generated power features. In particular, we compare clustering methods using clearness index and K-means clustering, where we use both euclidian distance and dynamic time-warping. For evaluating prediction accuracy, we develop and compare different prediction models for each of the clusters using production data from a swedish SmartGrid. We demonstrate that proper tuning of thresholds for the clearness index improves prediction accuracy by 20.19% but results in worse performance than using K-means with all weather features as input to the clustering.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2022.
Keywords [en]
Cluster analysis, Electric power transmission networks, K-means clustering, Solar energy, Solar energy conversion, Solar power generation, Weather forecasting, Clearness indices, Clustering methods, Clusterings, Machine-learning, Microgrid, Power, Prediction accuracy, Prediction modelling, Renewable energies, Smart grid, Smart power grids
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Computer Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-92673DOI: 10.1109/ISC255366.2022.9922507Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85142119267ISBN: 978-1-6654-8561-6 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-92673DiVA, id: diva2:1717222
Conference
8th IEEE International Smart Cities Conference,Pafos, Cyprus, September 26-29, 2022.
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, AI4-ENERGYAvailable from: 2022-12-07 Created: 2022-12-07 Last updated: 2024-02-07Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Aupke, PhilKassler, AndreasTheocharis, Andreas

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Aupke, PhilKassler, AndreasTheocharis, Andreas
By organisation
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013)Department of Engineering and Physics (from 2013)
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
isbn
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
isbn
urn-nbn
Total: 267 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf