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Strategisk röstning i riksdagsvalet 2018
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013). Göteborgs universitet.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0820-8626
2019 (Swedish)Report (Refereed)Alternative title
Strategic voting in the 2018 Swedish General Election (English)
Abstract [sv]

De senaste valen är det fler väljare som röstar på ett annat parti än det de gillar bäst, och ett skäl till detta kan vara strategi. I denna rapport analyseras förväntningar, olika strate­gi­ska skäl för röstning och väljarströmmar i riksdagsvalet 2018. Kristdemokraterna står fort­farande ut som ett parti som gynnas av strategisk röstning. En förklaring till detta års uppgång är ett lagom osäkert läge runt spärren i valkampanjens slutskede och fokus på regeringsskifte. Samtidigt var det få som ”kastade bort” sina röster och vänster­blocket lyckades denna gång lyckades koordinera sina röster bättre än 2014. Analyserna tyder också på en förhållandevis stor grupp röstade strategiskt på Socialdemokraterna. I valet 2018 röstade 15 procent av väljarkåren på ett annat parti än de eller det parti de sade sig gilla bäst.  

Abstract [en]

Many Swedes vote for another party than the one he or she likes most, and one reason for this is strategic considerations. This report investigates voters' expectations, reasons to vote strategically and party support shifting in the 2018 Swedish general election. In line with the most recent elections, the small right-wing party Christian Democrats benefited from high shares of strategic votes. This behavior was associated with the party's clear focus on shifting government and having opinion poll levels just at the four percent electoral threshold. Relatively few “wasted" their votes on parties that did finally not reach the electoral threshold. In particular, left-wing voters managed to coordinate their votes better than in the previous election (2014). The analyses also indicate that a relatively large share voted strategically for the Social Democrats. In the 2018 Swedish General Election, 15 percent of the electorate voted for another party than the party or parties they said they preferred. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
University of Gothenburg, 2019. , p. 11
Series
Valforskningsprogrammets rapportserie ; 2019:2
Keywords [en]
strategic, voting, coalitions, elections
Keywords [sv]
strategisk, röstning, koalitioner, val
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-71607OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-71607DiVA, id: diva2:1298925
Available from: 2019-03-25 Created: 2019-03-25 Last updated: 2019-03-28Bibliographically approved

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Fredén, Annika

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CiteExportLink to record
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