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Insurance strategic considerations in coalition-oriented systems: A consideration set model approach
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013). Göteborgs universitet.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0820-8626
Göteborgs universitet.
2018 (English)In: Electoral Studies, ISSN 0261-3794, E-ISSN 1873-6890, Vol. 57, p. 302-308Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

During a vote-decision process, citizens elect between some of the parties – not all of them. In this paper, we explore a potential strategic reason to include an additional alternative in the consideration set. Drawing on research from the field of strategic voting, we study incentives to defect to a party at risk of falling below an electoral threshold in order to elect a winning coalition (”insurance”). Our argument is that these types of strategic considerations occur already in the campaign, but do not always translate into choice. Using the so-called consideration set model approach (CSM), which focuses on how voters select fewer alternatives among a larger number of parties, we model vote choice over an election campaign using panel data from the Swedish National Election Studies of 2014. In line with our argument, we demonstrate that the insurance strategy was prevalent earlier in the decision-making process, when forming the consideration set.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Amsterdam, Netherlands, 2018. Vol. 57, p. 302-308
Keywords [en]
insurance, strategic, voting, coalitions, consideration sets
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)
Research subject
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-70381DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2018.08.008ISI: 000457950700026OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-70381DiVA, id: diva2:1267197
Available from: 2018-11-30 Created: 2018-11-30 Last updated: 2019-02-21Bibliographically approved

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Fredén, Annika

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  • apa
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  • vancouver
  • apa.csl
  • Other style
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Language
  • de-DE
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  • en-US
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  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
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  • Other locale
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Output format
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