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Global population datasets overestimate flood exposure in Sweden
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Center for Societal Risk Research, CSR (from 2020). Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013). Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science (CNDS), Sweden.
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Environmental and Life Sciences (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0001-2058
Karlstad University, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences (starting 2013), Department of Language, Literature and Intercultural Studies (from 2013). BOKU University, Austria.
Karlstad University, Faculty of Health, Science and Technology (starting 2013), Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4403-6908
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2024 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 14, no 1, article id 20410Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Accurate population data is crucial for assessing exposure in disaster risk assessments. In recent years,there has been a signifcant increase in the development of spatially gridded population datasets.Despite these datasets often using similar input data to derive population fgures, notable diferencesarise when comparing them with direct ground-level observations. This study evaluates the precisionand accuracy of food exposure assessments using both known and generated gridded populationdatasets in Sweden. Specifcally focusing on WorldPop and GHSPop, we compare these datasetsagainst ofcial national statistics at a 100 m grid cell resolution to assess their reliability in foodexposure analyses. Our objectives include quantifying the reliability of these datasets and examiningthe impact of data aggregation on estimated food exposure across diferent administrative levels.The analysis reveals signifcant discrepancies in food exposure estimates, underscoring the challengesassociated with relying on generated gridded population data for precise food risk assessments.Our fndings emphasize the importance of careful dataset selection and highlight the potential foroverestimation in food risk analysis. This emphasises the critical need for validations against groundpopulation data to ensure accurate food risk management strategies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Nature Publishing Group, 2024. Vol. 14, no 1, article id 20410
Keywords [en]
Flood exposure, Gridded population dataset, WorldPop, GHSPop, Flood risk management, Sweden
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Risk and Environmental Studies; Geomatics; Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-101532DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-71330-5ISI: 001304252300022PubMedID: 39223219Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85202955210OAI: oai:DiVA.org:kau-101532DiVA, id: diva2:1894745
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-02388_8; 2021-02380_3Karlstad UniversityAvailable from: 2024-09-03 Created: 2024-09-03 Last updated: 2024-10-07Bibliographically approved

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Karagiorgos, KonstantinosGeorganos, StefanosNika, GrigorKavallaris, Nikos I.Grahn, TonjeHaas, JanNyberg, Lars

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Karagiorgos, KonstantinosGeorganos, StefanosNika, GrigorKavallaris, Nikos I.Grahn, TonjeHaas, JanNyberg, Lars
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Center for Societal Risk Research, CSR (from 2020)Department of Political, Historical, Religious and Cultural Studies (from 2013)Department of Environmental and Life Sciences (from 2013)Department of Language, Literature and Intercultural Studies (from 2013)Department of Mathematics and Computer Science (from 2013)
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